Fant 10466 publikasjoner. Viser side 261 av 419:
2018
2001
Global predictions of primary soil salinization under changing climate in the 21st century
Soil salinization has become one of the major environmental and socioeconomic issues globally and this is expected to be exacerbated further with projected climatic change. Determining how climate change influences the dynamics of naturally-occurring soil salinization has scarcely been addressed due to highly complex processes influencing salinization. This paper sets out to address this long-standing challenge by developing data-driven models capable of predicting primary (naturally-occurring) soil salinity and its variations in the world’s drylands up to the year 2100 under changing climate. Analysis of the future predictions made here identifies the dryland areas of South America, southern and western Australia, Mexico, southwest United States, and South Africa as the salinization hotspots. Conversely, we project a decrease in the soil salinity of the drylands in the northwest United States, the Horn of Africa, Eastern Europe, Turkmenistan, and west Kazakhstan in response to climate change over the same period.
2021
2007
2008
Global occurrence, chemical properties, and ecological impacts of e-wastes (IUPAC Technical Report)
The waste stream of obsolete electronic equipment grows exponentially, creating a worldwide pollution and resource problem. Electrical and electronic waste (e-waste) comprises a heterogeneous mix of glass, plastics (including flame retardants and other additives), metals (including rare Earth elements), and metalloids. The e-waste issue is complex and multi-faceted. In examining the different aspects of e-waste, informal recycling in developing countries has been identified as a primary concern, due to widespread illegal shipments; weak environmental, as well as health and safety, regulations; lack of technology; and inadequate waste treatment structure. For example, Nigeria, Ghana, India, Pakistan, and China have all been identified as hotspots for the disposal of e-waste. This article presents a critical examination on the chemical nature of e-waste and the resulting environmental impacts on, for example, microbial biodiversity, flora, and fauna in e-waste recycling sites around the world. It highlights the different types of risk assessment approaches required when evaluating the ecological impact of e-waste. Additionally, it presents examples of chemistry playing a role in potential solutions. The information presented here will be informative to relevant stakeholders seeking to devise integrated management strategies to tackle this global environmental concern.
2020
Hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs) are important synthetic compounds replacing other halocarbons in phase-down from usage (e.g., as refrigerants, propellants, foam blowing). Little is known about their atmospheric abundance, distribution and trends, nor about their emissons. Here, we report atmospheric observations of the widely used HFO-1234yf (2,3,3,3-tetrafluoroprop-1-ene), and HFO-1234ze(E) (E-1,3,3,3-tetrafluoroprop-1-ene), and the hydrochlorofluoroolefin (HCFO) HCFO-1233zd(E) (E-1-chloro-3,3,3-trifluoroprop-1-ene) observed as part of the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) network. Over the observational period 2011–2025, pollution events have grown in magnitude and frequency at sites which are influenced by regional emissions, while remote stations show first appearances of these substances. By 2024/2025 winter peak mole fractions in background northern hemisphere air have reached ∼ 0.25 ppt (picomol mol−1, parts-per-trillion in dry air) for HFO-1234yf and HFO-1234ze(E) and ∼ 0.45 ppt for HCFO-1233zd(E). Using European observations and the inverse modeling frameworks InTEM, ELRIS, and RHIME we determine emission trends and regional distributions. For Northwest Europe, emissions of HFO-1234yf increased steadily and rapidly from <0.1 Gg yr−1 in 2014 to 1.50 [1.23–1.74, range of 16–84 percentile] Gg yr−1 by 2023, presumably due to its introduction in mobile air conditioning and stationary refrigeration. HFO-1234ze(E) emissions were low during 2014–2017, followed by a rapid increase in 2018/2019, potentially due its introduction as an aerosol propellant, after which they increased more slowly to 0.96 [0.82–1.13] Gg yr−1 by 2023. HCFO-1233zd(E) emissions are derived from 2017 onward, showing a steady increase from 0.15 [0.07–0.23] to 1.04 [0.93–1.15] Gg yr−1 in 2023.
2026
Global nitrous oxide budget (1980–2020)
Nitrous oxide (N2O) is a long-lived potent greenhouse gas and stratospheric ozone-depleting substance that has been accumulating in the atmosphere since the preindustrial period. The mole fraction of atmospheric N2O has increased by nearly 25 % from 270 ppb (parts per billion) in 1750 to 336 ppb in 2022, with the fastest annual growth rate since 1980 of more than 1.3 ppb yr−1 in both 2020 and 2021. According to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR6), the relative contribution of N2O to the total enhanced effective radiative forcing of greenhouse gases was 6.4 % for 1750–2022. As a core component of our global greenhouse gas assessments coordinated by the Global Carbon Project (GCP), our global N2O budget incorporates both natural and anthropogenic sources and sinks and accounts for the interactions between nitrogen additions and the biogeochemical processes that control N2O emissions. We use bottom-up (BU: inventory, statistical extrapolation of flux measurements, and process-based land and ocean modeling) and top-down (TD: atmospheric measurement-based inversion) approaches. We provide a comprehensive quantification of global N2O sources and sinks in 21 natural and anthropogenic categories in 18 regions between 1980 and 2020. We estimate that total annual anthropogenic N2O emissions have increased 40 % (or 1.9 Tg N yr−1) in the past 4 decades (1980–2020). Direct agricultural emissions in 2020 (3.9 Tg N yr−1, best estimate) represent the large majority of anthropogenic emissions, followed by other direct anthropogenic sources, including fossil fuel and industry, waste and wastewater, and biomass burning (2.1 Tg N yr−1), and indirect anthropogenic sources (1.3 Tg N yr−1) . For the year 2020, our best estimate of total BU emissions for natural and anthropogenic sources was 18.5 (lower–upper bounds: 10.6–27.0) Tg N yr−1, close to our TD estimate of 17.0 (16.6–17.4) Tg N yr−1. For the 2010–2019 period, the annual BU decadal-average emissions for both natural and anthropogenic sources were 18.2 (10.6–25.9) Tg N yr−1 and TD emissions were 17.4 (15.8–19.20) Tg N yr−1. The once top emitter Europe has reduced its emissions by 31 % since the 1980s, while those of emerging economies have grown, making China the top emitter since the 2010s. The observed atmospheric N2O concentrations in recent years have exceeded projected levels under all scenarios in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), underscoring the importance of reducing anthropogenic N2O emissions. To evaluate mitigation efforts and contribute to the Global Stocktake of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, we propose the establishment of a global network for monitoring and modeling N2O from the surface through to the stratosphere. The data presented in this work can be downloaded from https://doi.org/10.18160/RQ8P-2Z4R (Tian et al., 2023).
2024
2021
Global methane emission estimates from a dual-isotope inversion: new constraints from δD-CH4
Methane (CH4) is a potent greenhouse gas; however, the causes of its growth since 2006 are a subject of debate. While measurements of CH4 mole fraction and carbon isotopic composition (δ13C-CH4) have been extensively used to investigate the global CH4 budget, the hydrogen isotopic composition (δD-CH4) remains underutilised despite its unique sensitivity to source types and oxidation processes. Here, we assimilate a newly harmonised 35-year dataset of dual isotope measurements from high-latitude monitoring stations in both hemispheres within a two-box Bayesian inversion to quantify global CH4 sources and sinks. The model integrates prior emissions from five source categories based on global bottom-up inventories. Methane removal processes are represented by sink-specific kinetic isotope effects as tropospheric and stratospheric loss, and soil uptake. We find that the inclusion of δD-CH4 improves the model's ability to constrain emission apportionment between biogenic and thermogenic sources, particularly for fossil fuel emissions during the late 1990s and early 2000s, which affects CH4 lifetime estimate. CH4 increase post-2006 is driven mainly by rising wetland emissions, while fossil-fuel growth is modest, biomass burning declines, and agriculture and waste make smaller, regionalised contributions. The optimised inversion results favour a strong 13C kinetic isotope effect in total tropospheric CH4 removal and a net shortening of the NH lifetime of CH4 by 0.2 years. This study demonstrates the added value of incorporating δD-CH4 into inverse modelling frameworks and underscores the importance of long-term δD-CH4 measurements for advancing our understanding of CH4 biogeochemistry and its role in the global carbon cycle.
2026
Global mapping of city-level economic growth decoupling from fossil fuels
Cities seek to generate economic prosperity while reducing their dependence on fossil fuel combustion, yet tracking such progress at the city level remains challenging because of the limited and inconsistent emissions and economic data. Here we introduce an objective, globally consistent framework to measure decoupling between fossil fuel use and economic growth, either through reduced fuel use or shifts toward cleaner/more efficient combustion, proxied by tropospheric nitrogen dioxide columns combined with second-level administrative gross domestic product per capita based on purchasing power parity data. Analysing 5,435 cities globally over 2019–2024, we identify significant trends for 2,475 cities and classify them into 4 decoupling states. We find that 80% of these cities, mainly located in China, Europe and North America, enjoy relative decoupling, whereas 16%, mainly located in India and the Middle East, experience fossil fuel-dependent growth. Beyond these patterns, the described scalable satellite-based methodology can be revisited regularly to monitor city-level green growth and support urban policy effectiveness.
2026
2013
2025