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Modeling soil solution electrical conductivity across Europe
Soil salinization, referring to the excessive accumulation of soluble salts in soils, adversely influences nutrient cycling, biodiversity, soil structure, crop production, soil health, and ecosystem functioning. Accurately assessing soil salinity via electrical conductivity (EC) is key to mitigating its impacts. Thus, developing predictive tools for soil EC at regional and continental scales is essential for sustainable soil management. Here, we apply machine learning models to predict soil EC in the European Union (EU) and United Kingdom (UK) soils using different environmental factors like soil, climate, topography, and satellite data as predictors. The model is trained by ≈40,000 soil EC data points from the 2015 and 2018 Land Use/Cover Area Frame Survey data (LUCAS) surveys, complemented by the EC observations from World Soil Information Services (WoSIS) dataset. To improve the model performance, a forward feature selection technique was used resulting in selection of 17 covariates out of initially 34 predictors. The final selected XGBoost model achieved R2 values of 0.68, 0.6, and 0.63 for the training, internal testing, and independent validation datasets, respectively. For the year 2018, we estimate ≈21.7 Mha of EU + UK land exceeds an EC of 0.6 dS/m (at a 1:5 soil to water ratio, the so-called EC1:5). This estimate should be interpreted as elevated predicted EC1:5, rather than a direct estimate of soils meeting protosalic diagnostic criteria. The output of the predictive model consists of a gridded dataset that illustrates the spatial distribution of EC1:5 throughout the study area for the year 2018, along with an associated uncertainty map with a spatial resolution of 1 km.
2026
Unidentified Halon-2402 emissions in East Asia are driving the global trend
Halon-2402 (1,2‑dibromotetrafluoroethane, H-2402) is a potent ozone‑depleting substance and greenhouse gas whose global production has been banned under the Montreal Protocol since 2010, while the use of recovered or recycled stocks remains permitted for essential uses. Although these controls led to nearly two decades of declining atmospheric abundances, recent observations indicate renewed emissions. Here, we present the first observation-based regional emission estimates of H-2402 in East Asia for 2008–2023, derived using high-frequency measurements at Gosan, South Korea, and a Bayesian inversion framework. While most AGAGE stations measure background mole fractions or intermittent low-level increases, Gosan exhibits increasingly frequent and intense pollution events, revealing growing regional emissions. We find that East Asia accounted for most global H-2402 emissions in recent years, with particularly sharp increases in Japan and the Vladivostok region of Russia. Since 2015, regional emissions from East Asia have effectively driven the global emission trend, reversing the long-term decline. These emissions are spatially linked to petrochemical infrastructure, ship-repair activity, and military decommissioning sites, suggesting releases from legacy halon banks rather than new production. Cumulative emissions from East Asia between 2008 and 2023 reached ~52 Gg CFC-11-equivalent emissions. These findings imply a tangible delay in ozone layer recovery and underscore the urgent need for strengthened monitoring, transparent reporting, and verifiable management of remaining H-2402 stocks under the Montreal Protocol.
2026
Promoting healthy lifestyle behaviors such as physical activity, sleep, diet quality, stress management, hydration, and healthy habits requires adaptive systems capable of responding dynamically to changing behavioral and environmental conditions. However, the development and evaluation of personalized recommendation systems are challenged by fragmented observational data, privacy constraints, delayed feedback, and ethical limitations associated with long-term human experimentation. To address these challenges, this study proposes a digital twin-driven reinforcement learning framework for generating personalized behavioral recommendations in a fully simulated and statistically validated environment. The proposed framework formulates personalized behavioral recommendation as a stochastic Markov Decision Process (MDP) incorporating adherence uncertainty, behavioral drift, environmental modulation, and engagement dynamics. Synthetic longitudinal behavioral trajectories are generated through a digital twin simulator that models demographic heterogeneity, lifestyle behaviors, contextual variables, and variability in policy adherence over time. The optimization objective is defined through an effective reward formulation that balances behavioral compliance gains against penalties associated with health and environmental constraint violations. This study implements several reinforcement learning (RL) paradigms under simulated conditions, such as multi-armed bandits, table-based Q-learning, State-Action-Reward-State-Action (SARSA), function approximation-based temporal difference (TD) learning, and deep Q-learning network (DQN). The results demonstrate that richer state representations and context-dependent action dynamics are necessary for higher-capacity reinforcement learning models to consistently outperform simpler baselines. Furthermore, this study provides a reproducible method for comparing learning dynamics, performance, and computational cost in digital twin-based recommender systems. The framework additionally supports privacy-preserving experimentation through the exclusive use of synthetic behavioral data and locally controlled simulation environments.
2026
2026
This study presents results from an Intensive Measurement Period (IMP2022) conducted during the European heatwave of July 2022, focusing on ozone, volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and carbonaceous aerosols at 31 sites across Europe. The episode featured persistent high-pressure systems, record-breaking temperatures, widespread ozone exceedances and concurrent atmospheric new particle formation and growth events. Coordinated measurements and chemistry transport modelling were used to examine the spatial variability of ozone, VOC composition, and secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formation under extreme meteorological conditions. Oxygenated VOCs (O-VOCs) constituted the largest fraction of total measured VOC mixing ratios, followed by non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs) and aromatics, with contributions from both anthropogenic and biogenic sources. Sensitivity simulations indicate that ozone formation was predominantly NOx-limited across most regions during IMP2022. However, the highest ozone peaks occurred under conditions of elevated NOx in combination with enhanced BVOC emissions. In contrast, SOA formation was slightly enhanced under low-NOx conditions and reduced in elevated NOx. Isoprene, aliphatic NMHCs, and O-VOCs dominated the ozone formation potential, while aromatics and monoterpenes were major contributors to SOA potential. Model simulations indicated that higher NOx concentrations can reduce SOA formation by about 10 %. The campaign also highlighted observational gaps underscoring the need for broader and higher-resolution VOC monitoring across Europe. Overall, further reductions in NOx emissions, alongside targeted control of key anthropogenic VOCs, would benefit air quality under future climate extremes.
2026
An interlaboratory comparison (ILC) was conducted for levoglucosan, mannosan, and galactosan, as widely used organic tracers for assessing biomass burning aerosol in ambient air. Organized as part of the European research infrastructure ACTRIS (Aerosol, Clouds and Trace Gases Research Infrastructure) activities the OrGanic Tracers and Aerosol Constituents - Calibration Centre (OGTAC-CC) distributed aliquots from three ambient PM2.5 filter samples and two prepared aqueous standard solutions to ten research laboratories across Europe, each using its own analytical protocol. Overall agreement was good for the ambient filter samples, with relative standard deviations relative to the general mean of 14% for levoglucosan, 22% for mannosan, and 33% for galactosan. Individual measurement accuracy, expressed as mean percentage error, ranged from −33% to 13% for levoglucosan, −51% to 15% for mannosan, and −54% to 42% for galactosan. Laboratory performance was also assessed using z-scores, showing that despite methodological diversity, nearly all results were classified as acceptable. This ILC provides a timely snapshot of current European laboratory capability for key biomass burning tracers. The joint intercomparison study demonstrates the readiness of European laboratories to provide harmonized levoglucosan measurements at a continental scale, meeting the comparability needs arising from the inclusion of levoglucosan in the revised EU Ambient Air Quality Directive (AAQD), and supporting requirements across European (Co-operative Programme for Monitoring and Evaluation of the Long-range Transmission of Air Pollutants in Europe (EMEP), ACTRIS) and national monitoring networks.
2026
2026
2026
Hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs) are important synthetic compounds replacing other halocarbons in phase-down from usage (e.g., as refrigerants, propellants, foam blowing). Little is known about their atmospheric abundance, distribution and trends, nor about their emissons. Here, we report atmospheric observations of the widely used HFO-1234yf (2,3,3,3-tetrafluoroprop-1-ene), and HFO-1234ze(E) (E-1,3,3,3-tetrafluoroprop-1-ene), and the hydrochlorofluoroolefin (HCFO) HCFO-1233zd(E) (E-1-chloro-3,3,3-trifluoroprop-1-ene) observed as part of the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) network. Over the observational period 2011–2025, pollution events have grown in magnitude and frequency at sites which are influenced by regional emissions, while remote stations show first appearances of these substances. By 2024/2025 winter peak mole fractions in background northern hemisphere air have reached ∼ 0.25 ppt (picomol mol−1, parts-per-trillion in dry air) for HFO-1234yf and HFO-1234ze(E) and ∼ 0.45 ppt for HCFO-1233zd(E). Using European observations and the inverse modeling frameworks InTEM, ELRIS, and RHIME we determine emission trends and regional distributions. For Northwest Europe, emissions of HFO-1234yf increased steadily and rapidly from <0.1 Gg yr−1 in 2014 to 1.50 [1.23–1.74, range of 16–84 percentile] Gg yr−1 by 2023, presumably due to its introduction in mobile air conditioning and stationary refrigeration. HFO-1234ze(E) emissions were low during 2014–2017, followed by a rapid increase in 2018/2019, potentially due its introduction as an aerosol propellant, after which they increased more slowly to 0.96 [0.82–1.13] Gg yr−1 by 2023. HCFO-1233zd(E) emissions are derived from 2017 onward, showing a steady increase from 0.15 [0.07–0.23] to 1.04 [0.93–1.15] Gg yr−1 in 2023.
2026
The Filter Inlet for Gases and AEROsols coupled to a Chemical Ionization Mass Spectrometer (FIGAERO–CIMS) can be used to derive volatility of atmospheric aerosol by using the temperature at thermogram maximum signal (Tmax). For complex ambient particle matrices, Tmax of an individual compound often varies, for reasons not fully elucidated. Here, we apply machine learning to study the relation between Tmax of levoglucosan (C6H10O5), a common tracer to identify the influence of biomass burning (BB) in ambient air, and a set of atmospheric and instrumental parameters for an ambient year-long FIGAERO–CIMS data set measured in the Arctic. Using three different modeling approaches, namely, multiple linear regression (MLR), random forest (RF) regressor, and XGBoost regressor, we find that the mass loading on the FIGAERO filter has the highest relevance for variation in Tmax of levoglucosan. On the basis of these results, we suggest controlling the mass collected on the filter for continuous online measurement with the FIGAERO–CIMS if quantitative volatility information is to be gained. More generally, we demonstrate the usefulness of machine learning approaches for characterization of instrumental backgrounds in complex ambient or laboratory data.
2026