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The consolidated European synthesis of CO2 emissions and removals for the European Union and United Kingdom: 1990–2020

McGrath, Matthew J; Petrescu, Ana Maria Roxana; Peylin, Philippe; Andrew, Robbie; Matthews, Bradley; Dentener, Frank; Balkovič, Juraj; Bastrikov, Vladislav; Becker, Meike; Broquet, Gregoire; Ciais, Philippe; Fortems-Cheiney, Audrey; Ganzenmüller, Raphael; Grassi, Giacomo; Harrison, Ian; Jones, Carl Matthew; Knauer, Jürgen; Kuhnert, Matthias; Monteil, Guillaume; Munassar, Saqr; Palmer, Paul I.; Peters, Glen Philip; Qiu, Chunjing; Schelhaas, Mart-Jan; Tarasova, Oksana; Vizzarri, Matteo; Winkler, Karina; Balsamo, Gianpaolo; Berchet, Antoine; Briggs, Peter R; Brockmann, Patrick; Chevallier, Frédéric; Conchedda, Giulia; Monica, Crippa; Dellaert, Stijn N. C.; van der Gon, Hugo A.C. Denier; Filipek, Sara; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Fuchs, Richard; Gauss, Michael; Gerbig, Christoph; Guizzardi, Diego; Günther, Dirk; Houghton, Richard A; Janssens-Maenhout, Greet; Lauerwald, Ronny; Lerink, Bas; Luijkx, Ingrid T.; Moulas, Géraud; Muntean, Marilena; Nabuurs, Gert-Jan; Paquirissamy, Aurélie; Perugini, Lucia; Peters, Wouter; Pilli, Roberto; Pongratz, Julia; Regnier, Pierre; Scholze, Marko; Serengil, Yusuf; Smith, Peter; Solazzo, Efisio; Thompson, Rona Louise; Tubiello, Francesco N.; Vesala, Timo; Walther, Sophia

2023

Interpolation, Satellite-Based Machine Learning, or Meteorological Simulation? A Comparison Analysis for Spatio-temporal Mapping of Mesoscale Urban Air Temperature

Hassani, Amirhossein; Sousa Santos, Gabriela; Schneider, Philipp; Castell, Nuria

Fine-resolution spatio-temporal maps of near-surface urban air temperature (Ta) provide crucial data inputs for sustainable urban decision-making, personal heat exposure, and climate-relevant epidemiological studies. The recent availability of IoT weather station data allows for high-resolution urban Ta mapping using approaches such as interpolation techniques or machine learning (ML). This study is aimed at executing these approaches and traditional numerical modeling within a practical and operational framework and evaluate their practicality and efficiency in cases where data availability, computational constraints, or specialized expertise pose challenges. We employ Netatmo crowd-sourced weather station data and three geospatial mapping approaches: (1) Ordinary Kriging, (2) statistical ML model (using predictors primarily derived from Earth Observation Data), and (3) weather research and forecasting model (WRF) to predict/map daily Ta at nearly 1-km spatial resolution in Warsaw (Poland) for June–September and compare the predictions against observations from 5 meteorological reference stations. The results reveal that ML can serve as a viable alternative approach to traditional kriging and numerical simulation, characterized by reduced complexity and higher computational speeds within the domain of urban meteorological studies (overall RMSE = 1.06 °C and R2 = 0.94, compared to ground-based meteorological stations). The results have implications for identifying the urban regions vulnerable to overheating and evidence-based urban management in response to climate change. Due to the open-sourced nature of the applied predictors and input parsimony, the ML method can be easily replicated for other EU cities.

2023

Impacts of a warming climate on concentrations of organochlorines in a fasting high arctic marine bird: Direct vs. indirect effects?

Bustnes, Jan Ove; Bårdsen, Bård-Jørgen; Moe, Børge; Herzke, Dorte; Ballesteros, Manuel; Fenstad, Anette; Borgå, Katrine; Krogseth, Ingjerd Sunde; Eulaers, Igor; Skogeng, Lovise Pedersen; Gabrielsen, Geir Wing; Hanssen, Sveinn Are

The present study examined how climate changes may impact the concentrations of lipophilic organochlorines (OCs) in the blood of fasting High Arctic common eiders (Somateria mollissima) during incubation. Polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), 1-dichloro-2,2-bis (p-chlorophenyl) ethylene (p,p′-DDE), hexachlorobenzene (HCB) and four chlordane compounds (oxychlordane, trans-chlordane and trans- and cis-nonachlor) were measured in females at chick hatching (n = 223) over 11 years (2007–2017). Firstly, median HCB and p,p′-DDE concentrations increased ~75 % over the study period, whereas median chlordane concentrations doubled (except for oxychlordane). PCB concentrations, in contrast, remained stable over the study period. Secondly, both body mass and clutch size were negatively associated with OC levels, suggesting that females with high lipid metabolism redistributed more OCs from adipose tissue, and that egg production is an important elimination route for OCs. Thirdly, the direct climate effects were assessed using the mean effective temperature (ET: air temperature and wind speed) during incubation, and we hypothesized that a low ET would increase redistribution of OCs. Contrary to expectation, the ET was positively correlated to most OCs, suggesting that a warmer climate may lead to higher OCs levels, and that the impact of ET may not be direct. Finally, potential indirect impacts were examined using the Arctic Oscillation (AO) in the three preceding winters (AOwinter 1–3) as a proxy for potential long-range transport of OCs, and for local spring climate conditions. In addition, we used chlorophyll a (Chla) as a measure of spring primary production. There were negative associations between AOwinter 1 and HCB, trans-chlordane and trans-nonachlor, whereas oxychlordane and cis-chlordane were negatively associated with Chla. This suggests that potential indirect climate effects on eiders were manifested through the food chain and not through increased long-range transport, although these relationships were relatively weak.

Elsevier

2023

Method for retrieval of aerosol optical depth from multichannel irradiance measurements

Sztipanov, Milos; Li, Wei; Dahlback, Arne; Stamnes, Jakob J.; Svendby, Tove Marit; Stamnes, Knut

We present, to the best of our knowledge, a new method for retrieval of aerosol optical depth from multichannel irradiance measurements. A radiative transfer model is used to simulate measurements to create the new aerosol optical depth retrieval method. A description of the algorithm, simulations, proof of principle, merits, possible future developments and implementations is provided. As a demonstration, measurements in the New York City area are simulated based on the specific channel configuration of an existing multichannel irradiance instrument. Verification of the method with irradiance measurement data is also provided.

Optical Society of America

2023

Arctic Tropospheric Ozone Trends

Law, Kathy S.; Hjorth, Jens Liengaard; Pernov, Jakob B.; Whaley, Cynthia; Skov, Henrik; Coen, Martine Collaud; Langner, Joakim; Arnold, Stephen R.; Tarasick, David; Christensen, Jesper; Deushi, Makoto; Effertz, Peter; Faluvegi, Greg; Gauss, Michael; Im, Ulas; Oshima, Naga; Petropavlovskikh, Irina; Plummer, David; Tsigaridis, Kostas; Tsyro, Svetlana; Solberg, Sverre; Turnock, Stephen

Observed trends in tropospheric ozone, an important air pollutant and short-lived climate forcer (SLCF), are estimated using available surface and ozonesonde profile data for 1993–2019, using a coherent methodology, and compared to modeled trends (1995–2015) from the Arctic Monitoring Assessment Program SLCF 2021 assessment. Increases in observed surface ozone at Arctic coastal sites, notably during winter, and concurrent decreasing trends in surface carbon monoxide, are generally captured by multi-model median trends. Wintertime increases are also estimated in the free troposphere at most Arctic sites, with decreases during spring months. Winter trends tend to be overestimated by the multi-model medians. Springtime surface ozone increases in northern coastal Alaska are not simulated while negative springtime trends in northern Scandinavia are not always reproduced. Possible reasons for observed changes and model performance are discussed including decreasing precursor emissions, changing ozone dry deposition, and variability in large-scale meteorology.

American Geophysical Union (AGU)

2023

The atmospheric fate of 1,2-dibromo-4-(1,2-dibromoethyl)cyclohexane (TBECH): spatial patterns, seasonal variability, and deposition to Canadian coastal regions

Oh, Jenny; Shunthirasingham, Chubashini; Lei, Ying Duan; Zhan, Faqiang; Li, Yuening; Dalpé Castilloux, Abigaëlle; Ben Chaaben, Amina; Lu, Zhe; Lee, Kelsey; Gobas, Frank A. P. C.; Eckhardt, Sabine; Alexandrou, Nick; Hung, Hayley; Wania, Frank

Brominated flame retardants (BFRs) that are gradually being phased out are being replaced by emerging BFRs. Here, we report the concentration of the α- and β-isomers of 1,2-dibromo-4-(1,2-dibromoethyl)cyclohexane (TBECH; also known as DBE-DBCH) in over 300 air, water, and precipitation samples collected between 2019 and 2022 using active air and deposition sampling as well as networks of passive air and water samplers. The sampling region includes Canada's most populated cities and areas along the St. Lawrence River and Estuary, Quebec, as well as around the Salish Sea, British Columbia. TBECH was detected in over 60 % of air samples at levels comparable to those of 2,2′,4,4′-tetrabromodiphenyl ether (BDE-47). Concentrations of TBECH and BDE-47 were typically higher in urban areas, with stronger correlations with population density during warmer deployments. Uniform α-  β-TBECH ratios across space, time, and environmental media indicate the highly similar atmospheric fate of the two isomers. Although TBECH air concentrations were strongly related to temperature in urban Toronto and a remote site on the east coast, the lack of such dependence at a remote site on the west coast can be explained by the small seasonal temperature range and summertime air mass transport from the Pacific Ocean. Despite there being no evidence that TBECH has been produced, or imported for use, in Canada, it is now one of the most abundant gaseous BFRs in the Canadian atmosphere. The recorded spatial and temporal variability of TBECH suggest that its emissions are not constrained to specific locations but are generally tied to the presence of humans. The most likely explanation for its environmental occurrence in Canada is the release from imported consumer products containing TBECH. Chiral analysis suggests that despite its urban origin, at least some fraction of TBECH has experienced enantioselective processing, i.e., has volatilized from reservoirs where it has undergone microbial transformations. Microbial processes in urban soils and in marine waters may have divergent enantioselectivity.

2023

Image-Text Connection: Exploring the Expansion of the Diversity Within Joint Feature Space Similarity Score

Mohammadi, Mahsa; Eftekhari, Mahdi; Hassani, Amirhossein

Cross-modal representation learning aims to learn a shared representation space where data from multiple modalities can be effectively compared, fused, and understood. This paper investigates the role of increased diversity in the similarity score matrix in enhancing the performance of the CLIP (Contrastive Language-Image Pretraining), a multi-modal learning model that establishes a connection between images and text within a joint embedding space. Two transforming approaches, sine and sigmoid (including two versions), are incorporated into the CLIP model to amplify larger values and diminish smaller values within the similarity matrix (logits). Hardware limitations are addressed using a more compact text encoder (DistilBERT) and a pre-trained ResNet50 image encoder. The proposed adaptations are evaluated on various benchmarks, including image classification and image/text retrieval tasks, using 10 benchmark datasets such as Food101, Flickr30k, and COCO. The performance of the adapted models is compared to the base CLIP model using Accuracy, mean per class, and Recall@k metrics. The results demonstrate improvements in Accuracy (up to 5.32% enhancement for the PatchCamelyon dataset), mean per class (up to 14.48% enhancement for the FGVCAircraft dataset), and retrieval precision (with an increase of up to 45.20% in Recall@1 for the COCO dataset), compared to the baseline algorithm (CLIP).

IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)

2023

Circular economy for aquatic food systems: insights from a multiscale phosphorus flow analysis in Norway

Pandit, Avijit Vinayak; Dittrich, Nils Maximilian; Strand, Andrea Viken; Lozach, Loïs; Las Heras Hernandez, Miguel; Reitan, Kjell Inge; Mueller, Daniel Beat

As wild-caught fish become scarce, feed ingredients for farming fish, such as salmon, are increasingly sourced from agricultural plants that depend on mineral fertilizers. Since these fish are naturally carnivorous, they have difficulty digesting the phosphorus in plant-based feed. So additional phosphorus supplements are added to the feed, resulting in a disproportionate increase in mineral phosphorus use and emission. Aquatic food production is increasingly relying on agriculture and mineral phosphorus resources. The feed surplus and the excreta are seldom collected and recycled, leading to a massive loss of nutrients to water bodies and the seafloor, resulting in local risk for eutrophication. Norway currently produces more than half of the world’s Atlantic salmon, and it is set to increase production from currently 1.5 to 5 Mt. in 2050. This has large implications for feed supply and emissions globally. There is a lack of studies that analyze the phosphorus system in aquatic food production at a sufficient spatial and temporal granularity to effectively inform interventions for a more circular use of phosphorus. Here, we present a multi-scale phosphorus flow analysis at monthly resolution ranging between 2005 and 2021 for aquatic food production in Norway and quantitatively discuss the effectiveness of alternative strategies for improving resource efficiency. The results indicate that P emissions from aquaculture have nearly doubled in the period between 2005 and 2021. The P use efficiency (PUE) in Norwegian aquaculture was 19% in 2021. The addition of phytase to the feed could improve the PUE by 8% by reducing P supplements and emissions by 7 kt/y. The use of Integrated Multi-Trophic Aquaculture close to fish farming sites could absorb emissions by 4 kt/y by creating new marine food products. Sludge collection systems could reduce P emissions by 4 to 11 kt/y, depending on the technology. Using the sludge in local agriculture would exacerbate the current P accumulation in soils close to the coastline, given that the animal density in this region is already high. Hence, a large and sophisticated processing infrastructure will be needed to create transportable, high-quality secondary fertilizers for effective sludge recycling in regions with a P deficit.

Frontiers Media S.A.

2023

Review of Interpreting Gaseous Pollution Data Regarding Heritage Objects

Thickett, David; Grøntoft, Terje

Pollutant gases pose a significant risk to some cultural heritage objects, and surveys have shown that the professionals involved consider themselves to lack knowledge to fully assess risk. Three approaches towards risk assessment, research results, standards and damage functions have been considered. An assessment tool has been developed, collating over 4000 research reports into a scheme for the impact on 22 materials of acetic and formic acids, nitrogen dioxide, ozone and reduced sulphur gases. The application of doses or concentrations has been considered, the impact of measurement time compared to annual exposure investigated and a simple tool derived.

MDPI

2023

A rise in HFC-23 emissions from eastern Asia since 2015

Park, Hyeri; Kim, Jooil; Choi, Haklim; Geum, Sohyeon; Kim, Yeaseul; Thompson, Rona Louise; Mühle, Jens; Salameh, Peter K.; Harth, Christina M.; Stanley, Kieran M.; O'Doherty, Simon; Fraser, Paul J.; Simmonds, Peter G.; Krummel, Paul B.; Weiss, Ray F.; Prinn, Ronald G.; Park, Sunyoung

Trifluoromethane (CHF3, HFC-23), one of the most potent greenhouse gases among hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), is mainly emitted to the atmosphere as a by-product in the production of the ozone-depleting legacy refrigerant and chemical feedstock chlorodifluoromethane (CHClF2, HCFC-22). A recent study on atmospheric observation-based global HFC-23 emissions (top-down estimates) showed significant discrepancies over 2014–2017 between the increase in the observation-derived emissions and the 87 % emission reduction expected from capture and destruction processes of HFC-23 at HCFC-22 production facilities implemented by national phase-out plans (bottom-up emission estimates) (Stanley et al., 2020). However, the actual regions responsible for the increased emissions were not identified. Here, we estimate the regional top-down emissions of HFC-23 for eastern Asia based on in situ measurements at Gosan, South Korea, and show that the HFC-23 emissions from eastern China have increased from 5.0±0.4 Gg yr−1 in 2008 to 9.5±1.0 Gg yr−1 in 2019. The continuous rise since 2015 was contrary to the large emissions reduction reported under the Chinese hydrochlorofluorocarbons production phase-out management plan (HPPMP). The cumulative difference between top-down and bottom-up estimates for 2015–2019 in eastern China was  Gg, which accounts for 47±11 % of the global mismatch. Our analysis based on HCFC-22 production information suggests the HFC-23 emissions rise in eastern China is more likely associated with known HCFC-22 production facilities rather than the existence of unreported, unknown HCFC-22 production, and thus observed discrepancies between top-down and bottom-up emissions could be attributed to unsuccessful factory-level HFC-23 abatement and inaccurate quantification of emission reductions.

2023

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